Synlait Milk Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Synlait Milk is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 82.1% and 10.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 90.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -0.4% in 3 years.

Key information

82.1%

Earnings growth rate

90.7%

EPS growth rate

Food earnings growth	16.8%
Revenue growth rate	10.3%
Future return on equity	-0.4%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	05 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Calculating The Fair Value Of Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML)

Apr 04

Synlait Milk Limited's (NZSE:SML) 25% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Feb 15

Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Shares Slammed 30% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

Dec 18

These 4 Measures Indicate That Synlait Milk (NZSE:SML) Is Using Debt Extensively

Dec 05

Growth Investors: Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Revenue Forecasts By 11%

Apr 05

Who Has Been Selling Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Shares?

Feb 22

Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financials Look Strong: Should Prospective Shareholders Make The Leap?

Jan 25

Will the Promising Trends At Synlait Milk (NZSE:SML) Continue?

Jan 12

What Does The Future Hold For Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML)? These Analysts Have Been Cutting Their Estimates

Dec 30

Did You Miss Synlait Milk's (NZSE:SML) 59% Share Price Gain?

Dec 28

Should You Use Synlait Milk's (NZSE:SML) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

Dec 15

How Much Of Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Do Institutions Own?

Dec 02

Have Insiders Sold Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Shares Recently?

Nov 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NZSE:SML - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
7/31/2026	1,802	-1	15	54	5
7/31/2025	1,708	-12	8	49	5
7/31/2024	1,497	-123	-82	-44	5
1/31/2024	1,341	-86	14	66	N/A
10/31/2023	1,331	-50	-6	52	N/A
7/31/2023	1,321	-14	-26	39	N/A
4/30/2023	1,622	6	N/A	N/A	N/A
1/31/2023	1,239	14	-90	-9	N/A
10/31/2022	1,318	27	23	112	N/A
7/31/2022	1,397	40	137	233	N/A
4/30/2022	1,577	16	114	219	N/A
1/31/2022	1,494	-7	92	205	N/A
10/31/2021	1,431	-18	-15	112	N/A
7/31/2021	1,367	-28	-122	18	N/A
4/30/2021	1,387	13	-116	20	N/A
1/31/2021	1,407	54	-111	22	N/A
10/31/2020	1,354	64	-79	63	N/A
7/31/2020	1,302	74	-47	104	N/A
4/30/2020	1,207	73	-81	111	N/A
1/31/2020	1,113	71	-115	117	N/A
10/31/2019	1,068	77	-149	127	N/A
7/31/2019	1,024	82	-184	137	N/A
4/30/2019	967	76	-196	96	N/A
1/31/2019	911	71	-207	55	N/A
10/31/2018	895	73	-115	77	N/A
7/31/2018	879	75	-22	98	N/A
4/30/2018	894	72	60	151	N/A
1/31/2018	910	70	141	204	N/A
10/31/2017	834	55	N/A	160	N/A
7/31/2017	759	40	N/A	115	N/A
4/30/2017	691	37	N/A	101	N/A
1/31/2017	622	35	N/A	86	N/A
10/31/2016	584	35	N/A	95	N/A
7/31/2016	547	34	N/A	104	N/A
4/30/2016	505	31	N/A	94	N/A
1/31/2016	464	27	N/A	83	N/A
10/31/2015	456	19	N/A	50	N/A
7/31/2015	448	11	N/A	16	N/A
4/30/2015	481	6	N/A	10	N/A
1/31/2015	513	1	N/A	4	N/A
10/31/2014	557	10	N/A	31	N/A
7/31/2014	601	20	N/A	59	N/A
4/30/2014	564	18	N/A	36	N/A
1/31/2014	528	17	N/A	14	N/A
10/31/2013	474	14	N/A	-16	N/A
7/31/2013	420	12	N/A	-47	N/A
4/30/2013	399	10	N/A	-27	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SML is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: SML is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: SML is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SML's revenue (10.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the NZ market (5.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SML's revenue (10.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SML is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Synlait Milk Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to NZ$0.55 loss, revenue upgraded

Price target decreased by 12% to NZ$1.56

Synlait Milk Limited Reaffirms Earnings Guidance for Its Full Year 2023

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Price target decreased by 7.6% to NZ$2.80

Price target decreased by 12% to NZ$3.53

Recent updates

New major risk - Share price stability

Calculating The Fair Value Of Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML)

First half 2024 earnings released: NZ$0.32 loss per share (vs NZ$0.006 profit in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to NZ$0.55 loss, revenue upgraded

Now 21% overvalued

Synlait Milk Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Apr 02, 2024

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Board Appointments

Synlait Announces Smaller Executive Leadership Team

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Board Changes

Now 26% overvalued

Synlait Milk Limited's (NZSE:SML) 25% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Price target decreased by 12% to NZ$1.56

New minor risk - Market cap size

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Resignation of Liu Ruibing (Ryan) as Director

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Shares Slammed 30% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

These 4 Measures Indicate That Synlait Milk (NZSE:SML) Is Using Debt Extensively

Synlait Milk Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Sep 30, 2024

New minor risk - Share price stability

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Board Changes

Synlait Milk Limited Enters into Confidential Binding Arbitration Process with The a2 Milk Company Limited

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Synlait Milk Limited Reaffirms Earnings Guidance for Its Full Year 2023

Synlait Milk Limited Appoints Glenn Laing as Director of Manufacturing Appointed

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Executive Changes, Effective 19 June 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

Synlait Milk (NZSE:SML) Has No Shortage Of Debt

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Price target decreased by 7.6% to NZ$2.80

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Synlait Milk (NZSE:SML)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 28%

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.022 (vs NZ$0.13 in 1H 2022)

Price target decreased by 12% to NZ$3.53

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Synlait Milk Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Mar 27, 2023

Synlait Milk Limited Appoints Abby Ye as President China and Director of Foodservice, Effective 1 March 2023

Synlait Milk Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Sep 25, 2023

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Board Changes

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Resignation of Boyd Williams as Director of People & Culture

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Board Changes

Does Synlait Milk (NZSE:SML) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Less than half of directors are independent

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Directors Changes, Effective 2 December 2022

Synlait Milk Limited Appoint New Executive Leadership Team, Effective from 16 January 2023

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Synlait Milk Limited Completes Phase 1 of Off-Farm Decarbonisation Roadmap

Hamish Reid Decides to Leave the Board of Synlait Milk Limited

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Management Changes, Effective September 1, 2022

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Management Changes

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Resignation of Deborah Marris as Director, Legal, Risk and Governance

Less than half of directors are independent

Synlait Milk Limited, Annual General Meeting, Dec 02, 2022

Growth Investors: Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Revenue Forecasts By 11%

First half 2022 earnings released

Price target increased to NZ$3.98

Synlait Milk Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Apr 01, 2022

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Board Changes

Director Min Ben has left the company

Full year 2021 earnings released: NZ$0.14 loss per share (vs NZ$0.42 profit in FY 2020)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Synlait Milk Limited Announces Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2021

Synlait Milk Limited Withdraws Guidance for the Full Year of 2021

New 90-day low: NZ$4.02

Who Has Been Selling Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Shares?

Synlait Milk Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Mar 29, 2021

New 90-day low: NZ$4.64

Synlait Milk Limited (NZSE:SML) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financials Look Strong: Should Prospective Shareholders Make The Leap?