Stock Analysis

We're Not Very Worried About Norse Atlantic's (OB:NORSE) Cash Burn Rate

OB:NORSE
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So, the natural question for Norse Atlantic (OB:NORSE) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for Norse Atlantic

How Long Is Norse Atlantic's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In December 2021, Norse Atlantic had US$134m in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was US$29m. Therefore, from December 2021 it had 4.6 years of cash runway. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:NORSE Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2022

Can Norse Atlantic Raise More Cash Easily?

Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Norse Atlantic has a market capitalisation of US$77m and burnt through US$29m last year, which is 38% of the company's market value. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

How Risky Is Norse Atlantic's Cash Burn Situation?

Given it's an early stage company, we don't have a lot of data with which to judge Norse Atlantic's cash burn. We would undoubtedly be more comfortable if it had reported some operating revenue. Having said that, we can say that its cash runway was a real positive. The bottom line is that we think its cash burn seems fairly reasonable, given it is still chasing growth. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Norse Atlantic (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.