Stock Analysis

We Think MPC Container Ships (OB:MPCC) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

OB:MPCC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that MPC Container Ships ASA (OB:MPCC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the NO Shipping industry.

What Is MPC Container Ships's Debt?

As you can see below, MPC Container Ships had US$187.8m of debt at June 2022, down from US$255.9m a year prior. However, it does have US$68.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$119.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:MPCC Debt to Equity History October 12th 2022

A Look At MPC Container Ships' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, MPC Container Ships had liabilities of US$132.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$110.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$68.7m as well as receivables valued at US$26.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$148.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since MPC Container Ships has a market capitalization of US$733.1m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

MPC Container Ships has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.35. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 17.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, MPC Container Ships grew its EBIT by 5,968% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MPC Container Ships's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last two years, MPC Container Ships recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

The good news is that MPC Container Ships's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Overall, we don't think MPC Container Ships is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for MPC Container Ships you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OB:MPCC

MPC Container Ships

Owns and operates a portfolio of container vessels.

Flawless balance sheet and good value.

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