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Slammed 26% REC Silicon ASA (OB:RECSI) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
REC Silicon ASA (OB:RECSI) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 61% loss during that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that REC Silicon's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in Norway, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for REC Silicon
What Does REC Silicon's Recent Performance Look Like?
REC Silicon certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. Perhaps the market is expecting its current strong performance to taper off in accordance to the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S contained. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on REC Silicon.How Is REC Silicon's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like REC Silicon's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 19% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 129% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 22%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that REC Silicon's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What Does REC Silicon's P/S Mean For Investors?
Following REC Silicon's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, REC Silicon's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with REC Silicon (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:RECSI
REC Silicon
Produces and sells silicon materials for the solar and electronics industries worldwide.
High growth potential and good value.