Stock Analysis

Is REC Silicon (OB:RECSI) A Risky Investment?

OB:RECSI
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies REC Silicon ASA (OB:RECSI) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for REC Silicon

What Is REC Silicon's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that REC Silicon had debt of US$127.2m at the end of September 2021, a reduction from US$148.1m over a year. However, it also had US$126.3m in cash, and so its net debt is US$900.0k.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:RECSI Debt to Equity History December 15th 2021

A Look At REC Silicon's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, REC Silicon had liabilities of US$46.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$218.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$126.3m as well as receivables valued at US$18.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$120.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, REC Silicon has a market capitalization of US$735.7m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, REC Silicon has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine REC Silicon's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, REC Silicon reported revenue of US$136m, which is a gain of 15%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, REC Silicon had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$28m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$12m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that REC Silicon is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.