Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By REC Silicon ASA's (OB:RECSI) Revenues Despite 41% Price Jump

OB:RECSI
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REC Silicon ASA (OB:RECSI) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 41% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 53% share price drop in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that REC Silicon's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in Norway, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for REC Silicon

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:RECSI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 12th 2024

How Has REC Silicon Performed Recently?

REC Silicon certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on REC Silicon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For REC Silicon?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like REC Silicon's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 13% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 133% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that REC Silicon's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From REC Silicon's P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now REC Silicon's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, REC Silicon's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for REC Silicon (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.