Stock Analysis

DNB Bank ASA (OB:DNB) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

OB:DNB
Source: Shutterstock

DNB Bank ASA (OB:DNB) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 3.5% to kr208 in the week after its latest yearly results. Revenues came in 3.7% below expectations, at kr79b. Statutory earnings per share were relatively better off, with a per-share profit of kr24.83 being roughly in line with analyst estimates. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for DNB Bank

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OB:DNB Earnings and Revenue Growth February 3rd 2024

After the latest results, the 16 analysts covering DNB Bank are now predicting revenues of kr82.1b in 2024. If met, this would reflect an okay 3.8% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to reduce 7.3% to kr24.26 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr82.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr24.52 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at kr220. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on DNB Bank, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at kr290 and the most bearish at kr192 per share. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that DNB Bank's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 3.8% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 9.0% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 1.7% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while DNB Bank's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at kr220, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for DNB Bank going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for DNB Bank (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.