Stock Analysis

Is Alfen (AMS:ALFEN) Using Too Much Debt?

ENXTAM:ALFEN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Alfen N.V. (AMS:ALFEN) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Alfen

What Is Alfen's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Alfen had debt of €5.55m at the end of December 2022, a reduction from €5.96m over a year. But on the other hand it also has €22.8m in cash, leading to a €17.3m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTAM:ALFEN Debt to Equity History April 10th 2023

A Look At Alfen's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Alfen had liabilities of €151.9m due within a year, and liabilities of €18.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €22.8m as well as receivables valued at €107.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €39.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Alfen has a market capitalization of €1.57b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Alfen boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Better yet, Alfen grew its EBIT by 143% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alfen can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Alfen may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Alfen recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Alfen's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €17.3m. And we liked the look of last year's 143% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we are not troubled with Alfen's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Alfen you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.