Is Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad (KLSE:TRIMODE) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad (KLSE:TRIMODE) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad
What Is Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2021, Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad had RM27.7m of debt, up from RM17.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had RM4.27m in cash, and so its net debt is RM23.4m.
How Strong Is Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad had liabilities of RM21.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM31.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM4.27m and RM23.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM25.2m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad has a market capitalization of RM114.5m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad has net debt to EBITDA of 3.6 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 8.0 suggests it can easily service that debt. Importantly, Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad grew its EBIT by 41% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. To be specific, it seems about as good at converting EBIT to free cash flow as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About KLSE:TRIMODE
Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad
Provides integrated logistics services in Malaysia and internationally.
Moderate unattractive dividend payer.