GDEX Berhad (KLSE:GDEX) stock falls 14% in past week as five-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend
We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But that doesn't mean long term investors can avoid big losses. For example the GDEX Berhad (KLSE:GDEX) share price dropped 64% over five years. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 24% in the last year.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for GDEX Berhad isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Given that GDEX Berhad only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.
Over five years, GDEX Berhad grew its revenue at 1.1% per year. That's far from impressive given all the money it is losing. It's likely this weak growth has contributed to an annualised return of 10% for the last five years. We'd want to see proof that future revenue growth is likely to be significantly stronger before getting too interested in GDEX Berhad. When a stock falls hard like this, some investors like to add the company to a watchlist (in case the business recovers, longer term).
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of GDEX Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 6.8% in the twelve months, GDEX Berhad shareholders did even worse, losing 23% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand GDEX Berhad better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with GDEX Berhad , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
But note: GDEX Berhad may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Malaysian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:GDEX
GDEX Berhad
An investment holding company, provides express delivery and logistics services in Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, and Indonesia.
Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.
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