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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By XOX Berhad's (KLSE:XOX) 33% Share Price Plunge
XOX Berhad (KLSE:XOX) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 33% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.
After such a large drop in price, when around half the companies operating in Malaysia's Wireless Telecom industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.4x, you may consider XOX Berhad as an incredibly enticing stock to check out with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for XOX Berhad
What Does XOX Berhad's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, XOX Berhad's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on XOX Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For XOX Berhad?
XOX Berhad's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.8% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 6.3% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 7.0% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that XOX Berhad's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Having almost fallen off a cliff, XOX Berhad's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of XOX Berhad confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with XOX Berhad (at least 3 which don't sit too well with us), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About KLSE:XOX
XOX Berhad
An investment holding company, provides mobile telecommunication products and services primarily in Malaysia.
Slight and slightly overvalued.