Stock Analysis

Golden Pharos Berhad (KLSE:GPHAROS) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 83%

The Golden Pharos Berhad (KLSE:GPHAROS) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 83%. The annual gain comes to 117% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, Golden Pharos Berhad's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Malaysia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 29x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Golden Pharos Berhad certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Golden Pharos Berhad

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:GPHAROS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 13th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Golden Pharos Berhad, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Golden Pharos Berhad's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Golden Pharos Berhad would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 106%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Golden Pharos Berhad is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Golden Pharos Berhad are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Golden Pharos Berhad revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Golden Pharos Berhad (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About KLSE:GPHAROS

Golden Pharos Berhad

An investment holding company, primarily engages in the forest concession management, harvesting, distribution, sawmilling, and processing of wood-based products in Malaysia and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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