Stock Analysis

We Think Dialog Group Berhad (KLSE:DIALOG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

KLSE:DIALOG
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Dialog Group Berhad (KLSE:DIALOG) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Dialog Group Berhad

What Is Dialog Group Berhad's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Dialog Group Berhad had RM2.41b of debt, up from RM2.09b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have RM1.93b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about RM477.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:DIALOG Debt to Equity History July 15th 2022

A Look At Dialog Group Berhad's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dialog Group Berhad had liabilities of RM1.13b falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM2.11b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM1.93b as well as receivables valued at RM832.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM481.3m.

Given Dialog Group Berhad has a market capitalization of RM11.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Dialog Group Berhad's net debt is only 0.84 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.0 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that Dialog Group Berhad's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 23% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Dialog Group Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Dialog Group Berhad burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Dialog Group Berhad's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Dialog Group Berhad's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Dialog Group Berhad's earnings per share history for free.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.