MTAG Group Berhad's (KLSE:MTAG) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 25, 2021
KLSE:MTAG
Source: Shutterstock

It is hard to get excited after looking at MTAG Group Berhad's (KLSE:MTAG) recent performance, when its stock has declined 22% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on MTAG Group Berhad's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for MTAG Group Berhad

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for MTAG Group Berhad is:

14% = RM29m ÷ RM199m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each MYR1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made MYR0.14 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

MTAG Group Berhad's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

To start with, MTAG Group Berhad's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 6.0%. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for MTAG Group Berhad in the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

As a next step, we compared MTAG Group Berhad's performance with the industry and discovered the industry has shrunk at a rate of 5.0% in the same period meaning that the company has been shrinking its earnings at a rate lower than the industry. This does offer shareholders some relief

past-earnings-growth
KLSE:MTAG Past Earnings Growth November 26th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is MTAG worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether MTAG is currently mispriced by the market.

Is MTAG Group Berhad Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

MTAG Group Berhad has a high three-year median payout ratio of 61% (or a retention ratio of 39%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

Only recently, MTAG Group Berhad started paying a dividend. This means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 60%.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that MTAG Group Berhad has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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