The Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:OMAB) Yearly Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

There's been a notable change in appetite for Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:OMAB) shares in the week since its full-year report, with the stock down 10% to Mex$190. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of Mex$12.76 per share roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Revenues of Mex$15b came in 3.7% ahead of analyst predictions. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de

After the latest results, the ten analysts covering Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de are now predicting revenues of Mex$16.4b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a solid 8.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to accumulate 6.2% to Mex$13.55. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of Mex$15.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$13.73 in 2025. So it looks like there's been no major change in sentiment following the latest results, although the analysts have made a small increase to to revenue forecasts.

It may not be a surprise to see thatthe analysts have reconfirmed their price target of Mex$206, implying that the uplift in revenue is not expected to greatly contribute to Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de's valuation in the near term. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de analyst has a price target of Mex$241 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at Mex$175. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 8.9% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 20% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 8.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. There was also an upgrade to revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at Mex$206, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte. de you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.