Earnings Miss: El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. Missed EPS By 33% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Last week, you might have seen that El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.8% to Mex$91.51 in the past week. Statutory earnings per share fell badly short of expectations, coming in at Mex$2.46, some 33% below analyst forecasts, although revenues were okay, approximately in line with analyst estimates at Mex$56b. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from El Puerto de Liverpool. de's 14 analysts is for revenues of Mex$230.8b in 2025. This would reflect a credible 3.5% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 11% to Mex$16.29. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of Mex$230.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$16.46 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for El Puerto de Liverpool. de

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of Mex$123, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values El Puerto de Liverpool. de at Mex$195 per share, while the most bearish prices it at Mex$95.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that El Puerto de Liverpool. de's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 7.0% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 13% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.4% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than El Puerto de Liverpool. de.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that El Puerto de Liverpool. de's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at Mex$123, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple El Puerto de Liverpool. de analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.