Stock Analysis

Investing in Fomento Económico Mexicano. de (BMV:FEMSAUBD) five years ago would have delivered you a 27% gain

BMV:FEMSA UBD
Source: Shutterstock

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:FEMSAUBD) share price is up 13% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. The last year has been disappointing, with the stock price down 9.7% in that time.

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Fomento Económico Mexicano. de

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Over half a decade, Fomento Económico Mexicano. de managed to grow its earnings per share at 3.7% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 2% over the same period. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
BMV:FEMSA UBD Earnings Per Share Growth February 25th 2025

This free interactive report on Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Fomento Económico Mexicano. de the TSR over the last 5 years was 27%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Fomento Económico Mexicano. de shareholders are down 6.1% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 5.0%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 5%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Fomento Económico Mexicano. de has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Mexican exchanges.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BMV:FEMSA UBD

Fomento Económico Mexicano. de

Through its subsidiaries, operates as a bottler of Coca-Cola trademark beverages.

Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.

Community Narratives

Elon Musk’s Vision Will Propel Tesla to New Heights
Fair Value US$332.71|0.7% undervalued
Panayiotis
Panayiotis
Community Contributor
Tesla's Future Valuation Soars with 35x PE by 2030?
Fair Value US$2.71k|87.8% undervalued
grew
grew
Community Contributor
EMCOR's stock price is set to rise with 9% revenue growth and electrification trends
Fair Value US$468.79|16.5% undervalued
Joey8301
Joey8301
Community Contributor