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These 4 Measures Indicate That MCNEX (KOSDAQ:097520) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that MCNEX Co., Ltd (KOSDAQ:097520) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for MCNEX
What Is MCNEX's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MCNEX had ₩82.0b in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₩23.7b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩58.3b.
How Strong Is MCNEX's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, MCNEX had liabilities of ₩180.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩20.0b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₩23.7b in cash and ₩134.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩42.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given MCNEX has a market capitalization of ₩837.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
MCNEX has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.49. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 19.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In fact MCNEX's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 48% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MCNEX can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, MCNEX's free cash flow amounted to 29% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Based on what we've seen MCNEX is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about MCNEX's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for MCNEX (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KOSE:A097520
MCNEX
Manufactures and sells camera modules in South Korea and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.