Stock Analysis

Is KAON Group (KOSDAQ:078890) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

KOSDAQ:A078890
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, KAON Group Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:078890) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for KAON Group

What Is KAON Group's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 KAON Group had debt of ₩205.4b, up from ₩178.1b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩40.3b, its net debt is less, at about ₩165.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A078890 Debt to Equity History November 13th 2024

How Healthy Is KAON Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, KAON Group had liabilities of ₩309.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩20.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩40.3b as well as receivables valued at ₩130.1b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩159.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₩50.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, KAON Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is KAON Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, KAON Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₩485b, which is a fall of 17%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

While KAON Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₩30b. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through ₩23b in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for KAON Group (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KAON Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.