If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Poongsan (KRX:103140), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Poongsan, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.067 = ₩121b ÷ (₩2.6t - ₩747b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, Poongsan has an ROCE of 6.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Metals and Mining industry average of 4.7%.
Check out our latest analysis for Poongsan
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Poongsan compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From Poongsan's ROCE Trend?
Things have been pretty stable at Poongsan, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Poongsan to be a multi-bagger going forward.
In Conclusion...
In a nutshell, Poongsan has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 25% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Poongsan (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About KOSE:A103140
Poongsan
Develops, manufactures, markets, exports, and sells fabricated non-ferrous metal, commercial ammunition, and defense products in South Korea and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.