Stock Analysis

How Much Did Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance's(KRX:001450) Shareholders Earn From Share Price Movements Over The Last Three Years?

KOSE:A001450
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Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance Co., Ltd. (KRX:001450) shareholders, since the share price is down 47% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 30%. But it's up 6.4% in the last week.

See our latest analysis for Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 9.8% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 19% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 5.17.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
KOSE:A001450 Earnings Per Share Growth February 26th 2021

We know that Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance the TSR over the last 3 years was -42%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance shareholders are down 1.7% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 48%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 4% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on KR exchanges.

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