Stock Analysis

Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings Company Limited's (KOSDAQ:900300) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 62%

KOSDAQ:A900300
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Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings Company Limited (KOSDAQ:900300) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 62% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 19% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, when close to half the companies operating in Korea's Personal Products industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A900300 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 2nd 2024

How Has Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings?

Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 41% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings' P/S

Despite Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's no surprise that Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Organic Tea Cosmetics Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.