Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that CAELUM Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:258610) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for CAELUM
How Much Debt Does CAELUM Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 CAELUM had debt of ₩24.0b, up from ₩20.7b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩8.43b, its net debt is less, at about ₩15.6b.
How Healthy Is CAELUM's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, CAELUM had liabilities of ₩18.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩19.5b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩8.43b as well as receivables valued at ₩10.5b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩19.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since CAELUM has a market capitalization of ₩56.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CAELUM will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year CAELUM's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months CAELUM produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₩3.2b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₩5.4b of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with CAELUM (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A258610
CAELUM
Engages in the manufacture and sale of geothermal, LNG, and oil and gas plants worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.