Stock Analysis
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Ecopro Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:086520) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Ecopro
How Much Debt Does Ecopro Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Ecopro had ₩3.31t of debt, an increase on ₩3.09t, over one year. However, it also had ₩839.1b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩2.47t.
How Healthy Is Ecopro's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ecopro had liabilities of ₩2.31t falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩1.98t due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩839.1b and ₩321.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₩3.13t more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Ecopro has a market capitalization of ₩7.85t, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ecopro's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, Ecopro made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₩3.8t, which is a fall of 54%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Ecopro's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₩313b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₩677b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Ecopro you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A086520
Ecopro
Engages in the manufacturing and selling of air pollution prevention and eco-friendly materials in South Korea and internationally.