Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Eagon Holdings Co.,Ltd (KOSDAQ:039020) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Eagon HoldingsLtd's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Eagon HoldingsLtd had debt of ₩230.7b, up from ₩218.1b in one year. However, it does have ₩45.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩185.4b.
How Healthy Is Eagon HoldingsLtd's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Eagon HoldingsLtd had liabilities of ₩254.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩151.7b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩45.3b in cash and ₩60.6b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩300.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₩62.3b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Eagon HoldingsLtd would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Eagon HoldingsLtd shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.7 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Eagon HoldingsLtd saw its EBIT tank 40% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Eagon HoldingsLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Eagon HoldingsLtd's free cash flow amounted to 24% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, Eagon HoldingsLtd's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Eagon HoldingsLtd really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Eagon HoldingsLtd (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About KOSDAQ:A039020
Eagon HoldingsLtd
Produces and sells building materials in South Korea and internationally.
Slight and slightly overvalued.