Stock Analysis

Should Income Investors Look At Odakyu Electric Railway Co., Ltd. (TSE:9007) Before Its Ex-Dividend?

TSE:9007
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Odakyu Electric Railway Co., Ltd. (TSE:9007) is about to go ex-dividend in just day or two. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Thus, you can purchase Odakyu Electric Railway's shares before the 27th of September in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 2nd of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP„15.00 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of JP„30.00 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Odakyu Electric Railway has a trailing yield of 1.8% on the current share price of JP„1653.50. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for Odakyu Electric Railway

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Odakyu Electric Railway has a low and conservative payout ratio of just 11% of its income after tax. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Odakyu Electric Railway generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out 103% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

While Odakyu Electric Railway's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Odakyu Electric Railway's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
TSE:9007 Historic Dividend September 25th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. That's why it's comforting to see Odakyu Electric Railway's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 24% per annum for the past five years. Earnings have been growing quickly, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Odakyu Electric Railway has delivered 6.5% dividend growth per year on average over the past 10 years. It's encouraging to see the company lifting dividends while earnings are growing, suggesting at least some corporate interest in rewarding shareholders.

The Bottom Line

Is Odakyu Electric Railway worth buying for its dividend? We're glad to see the company has been improving its earnings per share while also paying out a low percentage of income. However, it's not great to see it paying out what we see as an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow. In summary, it's hard to get excited about Odakyu Electric Railway from a dividend perspective.

While it's tempting to invest in Odakyu Electric Railway for the dividends alone, you should always be mindful of the risks involved. Be aware that Odakyu Electric Railway is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored...

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.