Stock Analysis
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Tobu Railway (TSE:9001) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Tobu Railway:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.054 = JP¥72b ÷ (JP¥1.7t - JP¥358b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Tobu Railway has an ROCE of 5.4%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 5.0%, it's still a low return by itself.
See our latest analysis for Tobu Railway
In the above chart we have measured Tobu Railway's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Tobu Railway .
So How Is Tobu Railway's ROCE Trending?
There hasn't been much to report for Tobu Railway's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Tobu Railway doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
Our Take On Tobu Railway's ROCE
In a nutshell, Tobu Railway has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 19% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Tobu Railway has the makings of a multi-bagger.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Tobu Railway (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.
While Tobu Railway isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tobu Railway might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9001
Tobu Railway
Engages in the transportation business in Japan.