We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Tobu Railway Valuation

Is 9001 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9001?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

9001 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.1x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9001's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9001 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.6x
9009 Keisei Electric Railway
27x18.2%JP¥621.4b
9007 Odakyu Electric Railway
42.5x23.9%JP¥603.9b
9008 Keio
52.1x30.4%JP¥567.8b
9142 Kyushu Railway
16.6x7.8%JP¥454.1b
9001 Tobu Railway
25.4x13.6%JP¥631.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9001 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x) compared to the peer average (34.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9001's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.8%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x) compared to the JP Transportation industry average (11.6x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9001's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9001 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9001 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9001 (¥3025) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1426.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9001 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9001 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,025.00
JP¥3,733.33
+23.4%
12.0%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,200.00n/a3
Jan ’24JP¥3,080.00
JP¥3,733.33
+21.2%
12.0%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,200.00n/a3
Dec ’23JP¥3,240.00
JP¥3,700.00
+14.2%
8.8%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,300.00n/a3
Nov ’23JP¥3,440.00
JP¥3,700.00
+7.6%
8.8%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,300.00n/a3
Oct ’23JP¥3,410.00
JP¥3,700.00
+8.5%
8.8%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,300.00n/a3
Sep ’23JP¥3,275.00
JP¥3,633.33
+10.9%
6.9%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,300.00n/a3
Aug ’23JP¥3,230.00
JP¥3,533.33
+9.4%
10.9%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
Jul ’23JP¥3,095.00
JP¥3,533.33
+14.2%
10.9%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
Jun ’23JP¥2,946.00
JP¥3,533.33
+19.9%
13.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,900.00n/a3
May ’23JP¥2,923.00
JP¥3,533.33
+20.9%
13.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,900.00n/a3
Apr ’23JP¥2,968.00
JP¥3,533.33
+19.0%
13.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,900.00n/a3
Mar ’23JP¥2,849.00
JP¥3,466.67
+21.7%
16.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a3
Feb ’23JP¥2,722.00
JP¥3,400.00
+24.9%
14.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥3,025.004
Jan ’23JP¥2,622.00
JP¥3,400.00
+29.7%
14.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥3,080.004
Dec ’22JP¥2,561.00
JP¥3,475.00
+35.7%
15.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,240.004
Nov ’22JP¥2,869.00
JP¥3,475.00
+21.1%
15.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,440.004
Oct ’22JP¥2,923.00
JP¥3,475.00
+18.9%
15.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,410.004
Sep ’22JP¥2,839.00
JP¥3,325.00
+17.1%
10.7%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,275.004
Aug ’22JP¥2,836.00
JP¥3,350.00
+18.1%
9.6%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥3,230.004
Jul ’22JP¥2,861.00
JP¥3,350.00
+17.1%
9.6%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥3,095.004
Jun ’22JP¥2,786.00
JP¥3,237.50
+16.2%
8.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,946.004
May ’22JP¥2,810.00
JP¥3,237.50
+15.2%
8.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,923.004
Apr ’22JP¥2,962.00
JP¥3,237.50
+9.3%
8.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,968.004
Mar ’22JP¥3,055.00
JP¥3,187.50
+4.3%
9.3%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,849.004
Feb ’22JP¥2,920.00
JP¥3,050.00
+4.5%
7.5%JP¥3,350.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,722.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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