Odakyu Electric Railway Co., Ltd.

TSE:9007 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥544.0b

Odakyu Electric Railway Valuation

Is 9007 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9007 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9007 (¥1536.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥787.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9007 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9007?

Key metric: As 9007 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9007. This is calculated by dividing 9007's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9007's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.7x
EarningsJP¥95.79b
Market CapJP¥544.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9007's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9007 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
9001 Tobu Railway
10.9x-1.8%JP¥513.5b
9142 Kyushu Railway
18.4x8.1%JP¥610.2b
9008 Keio
13.4x-2.9%JP¥497.9b
9009 Keisei Electric Railway
7.1x-15.2%JP¥626.1b
9007 Odakyu Electric Railway
5.6x-44.7%JP¥540.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9007 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9007's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9007 5.7xIndustry Avg. 11.0xNo. of Companies7PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9007 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the JP Transportation industry average (11x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9007's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9007 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.7x
Fair PE Ratio5.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9007 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9007 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,536.50
JP¥1,633.33
+6.3%
6.3%JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥1,605.00
JP¥1,633.33
+1.8%
6.3%JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥1,586.50
JP¥1,633.33
+3.0%
6.3%JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥1,698.50
JP¥1,616.67
-4.8%
6.4%JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥1,485.50
JP¥1,616.67
+8.8%
6.4%JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥1,535.50
JP¥1,616.67
+5.3%
6.4%JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥1,646.50
JP¥1,900.00
+15.4%
12.5%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,600.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥1,774.50
JP¥2,000.00
+12.7%
8.1%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,750.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥2,067.50
JP¥1,937.50
-6.3%
13.6%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥2,118.00
JP¥1,937.50
-8.5%
13.6%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥2,242.00
JP¥1,900.00
-15.3%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥2,151.00
JP¥1,866.67
-13.2%
15.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥2,117.50
JP¥1,866.67
-11.8%
15.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥2,210.00
JP¥1,925.00
-12.9%
13.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,605.004
Oct ’24JP¥2,234.50
JP¥1,925.00
-13.9%
13.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,586.504
Sep ’24JP¥2,199.00
JP¥1,900.00
-13.6%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,698.504
Aug ’24JP¥2,120.50
JP¥1,875.00
-11.6%
12.1%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,485.504
Jul ’24JP¥1,925.50
JP¥1,800.00
-6.5%
14.2%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,535.504
Jun ’24JP¥2,018.00
JP¥1,712.50
-15.1%
11.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,646.504
May ’24JP¥2,007.00
JP¥1,712.50
-14.7%
11.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,774.504
Apr ’24JP¥1,720.00
JP¥1,962.50
+14.1%
17.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,067.504
Mar ’24JP¥1,632.00
JP¥1,962.50
+20.3%
17.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,118.004
Feb ’24JP¥1,662.00
JP¥1,962.50
+18.1%
17.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,242.004
Jan ’24JP¥1,711.00
JP¥1,962.50
+14.7%
17.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,151.004
Dec ’23JP¥1,794.00
JP¥1,933.33
+7.8%
20.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,117.503
Nov ’23JP¥1,782.00
JP¥1,933.33
+8.5%
20.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,210.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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