Odakyu Electric Railway Co., Ltd.

TSE:9007 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥664.8b

Odakyu Electric Railway Valuation

Is 9007 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9007 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9007 (¥1866) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1232.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9007 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9007?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

9007 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.2x
PEG Ratio-0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9007's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9007 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
9001 Tobu Railway
16.7x6.7%JP¥717.9b
9024 Seibu Holdings
25.6x5.4%JP¥758.7b
9008 Keio
18.8x9.6%JP¥490.4b
9142 Kyushu Railway
10.9x-2.2%JP¥552.5b
9007 Odakyu Electric Railway
11x-28.4%JP¥664.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9007 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the peer average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9007's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a3.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a3.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9007 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the JP Transportation industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9007's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9007 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11x
Fair PE Ratio8.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9007 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9007 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,866.00
JP¥2,000.00
+7.2%
8.1%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,750.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥2,067.50
JP¥1,937.50
-6.3%
13.6%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥2,118.00
JP¥1,937.50
-8.5%
13.6%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥2,242.00
JP¥1,900.00
-15.3%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥2,151.00
JP¥1,866.67
-13.2%
15.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥2,117.50
JP¥1,866.67
-11.8%
15.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥2,210.00
JP¥1,925.00
-12.9%
13.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Oct ’24JP¥2,234.50
JP¥1,925.00
-13.9%
13.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Sep ’24JP¥2,199.00
JP¥1,900.00
-13.6%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Aug ’24JP¥2,120.50
JP¥1,875.00
-11.6%
12.1%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Jul ’24JP¥1,925.50
JP¥1,800.00
-6.5%
14.2%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Jun ’24JP¥2,018.00
JP¥1,712.50
-15.1%
11.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
May ’24JP¥2,007.00
JP¥1,712.50
-14.7%
11.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Apr ’24JP¥1,720.00
JP¥1,962.50
+14.1%
17.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,067.504
Mar ’24JP¥1,632.00
JP¥1,962.50
+20.3%
17.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,118.004
Feb ’24JP¥1,662.00
JP¥1,962.50
+18.1%
17.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,242.004
Jan ’24JP¥1,711.00
JP¥1,962.50
+14.7%
17.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,151.004
Dec ’23JP¥1,794.00
JP¥1,933.33
+7.8%
20.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,117.503
Nov ’23JP¥1,782.00
JP¥1,933.33
+8.5%
20.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,210.003
Oct ’23JP¥1,864.00
JP¥1,933.33
+3.7%
20.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,234.503
Sep ’23JP¥1,895.00
JP¥1,866.67
-1.5%
24.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,199.003
Aug ’23JP¥1,932.00
JP¥1,866.67
-3.4%
24.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,120.503
Jul ’23JP¥1,814.00
JP¥1,866.67
+2.9%
24.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,925.503
Jun ’23JP¥1,725.00
JP¥2,000.00
+15.9%
20.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,018.003
May ’23JP¥1,976.00
JP¥2,000.00
+1.2%
20.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,007.003
Apr ’23JP¥2,013.00
JP¥2,000.00
-0.6%
20.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,720.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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