Stock Analysis

Money Forward, Inc.'s (TSE:3994) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable

TSE:3994
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Money Forward, Inc.'s (TSE:3994) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.3x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Software industry in Japan have P/S ratios below 2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Money Forward

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:3994 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 20th 2024

How Has Money Forward Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Money Forward as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Money Forward's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Money Forward's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 41% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 167% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 26% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 13% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Money Forward's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Money Forward's P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Money Forward maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Software industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Money Forward with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.