Tecmira Holdings Inc. (TSE:3627) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥5.00 per share on the 30th of May. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 1.6%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
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Tecmira Holdings' Distributions May Be Difficult To Sustain
While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. While Tecmira Holdings is not profitable, it is paying out less than 75% of its free cash flow, which means that there is plenty left over for reinvestment into the business. In general, cash flows are more important than the more traditional measures of profit so we feel pretty comfortable with the dividend at this level.
EPS has fallen by an average of 28.8% in the past, so this could continue over the next year. This means that the company won't turn a profit over the next year, but with healthy cash flows at the moment the dividend could still be okay to continue.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥4.50 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥5.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.1% over that duration. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Tecmira Holdings' EPS has declined at around 29% a year. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Tecmira Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About TSE:3627
Tecmira Holdings
Provides solutions of hardware, software, and content using DX technology.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.