What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. So when we looked at the ROCE trend of System D (TYO:3804) we really liked what we saw.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for System D:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.22 = JP¥727m ÷ (JP¥4.6b - JP¥1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to October 2020).
Therefore, System D has an ROCE of 22%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Software industry average of 15%.
View our latest analysis for System D
In the above chart we have measured System D's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering System D here for free.
What Can We Tell From System D's ROCE Trend?
The trends we've noticed at System D are quite reassuring. The numbers show that in the last five years, the returns generated on capital employed have grown considerably to 22%. The company is effectively making more money per dollar of capital used, and it's worth noting that the amount of capital has increased too, by 46%. So we're very much inspired by what we're seeing at System D thanks to its ability to profitably reinvest capital.
The Bottom Line On System D's ROCE
In summary, it's great to see that System D can compound returns by consistently reinvesting capital at increasing rates of return, because these are some of the key ingredients of those highly sought after multi-baggers. Since the stock has returned a staggering 495% to shareholders over the last five years, it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if System D can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for System D that we think you should be aware of.
System D is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3804
System D
Develops and sells industry specific package software products in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.