Shibaura Mechatronics' (TSE:6590) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

Simply Wall St

The market shrugged off Shibaura Mechatronics Corporation's (TSE:6590) solid earnings report. We think that investors might be worried about some concerning underlying factors.

TSE:6590 Earnings and Revenue History May 22nd 2025

A Closer Look At Shibaura Mechatronics' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to March 2025, Shibaura Mechatronics had an accrual ratio of 0.26. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of JP¥4.1b in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of JP¥10.3b. We note, however, that Shibaura Mechatronics grew its free cash flow over the last year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Shibaura Mechatronics' Profit Performance

Shibaura Mechatronics' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Shibaura Mechatronics' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shibaura Mechatronics at this point in time. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Shibaura Mechatronics (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shibaura Mechatronics' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Shibaura Mechatronics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.