Shibaura Mechatronics Corporation

TSE:6590 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥102.2b

Shibaura Mechatronics Valuation

Is 6590 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6590 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6590 (¥7790) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥18472.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6590 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6590?

Key metric: As 6590 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6590. This is calculated by dividing 6590's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6590's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsJP¥9.02b
Market CapJP¥102.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6590's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6590 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.3x
4369 Tri Chemical Laboratories
29.9x35.6%JP¥91.0b
6890 Ferrotec Holdings
7.4x19.2%JP¥117.3b
6235 OptorunLtd
13.7x16.9%JP¥81.7b
6315 TOWA
14.3x18.9%JP¥119.0b
6590 Shibaura Mechatronics
11.3x9.8%JP¥102.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6590 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6590's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Semiconductor Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3856 Abalance
2xn/aUS$94.21m
No more companies available in this PE range
6590 11.3xIndustry Avg. 13.6xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6590 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the JP Semiconductor industry average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6590's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6590 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6590 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6590 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥7,790.00
JP¥13,000.00
+66.9%
23.7%JP¥18,000.00JP¥10,000.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥10,310.00
JP¥12,250.00
+18.8%
27.3%JP¥18,000.00JP¥10,000.00n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥6,260.00
JP¥7,666.50
+22.5%
21.7%JP¥9,333.00JP¥6,000.00JP¥10,310.002
Oct ’24JP¥7,050.00
JP¥7,666.67
+8.7%
21.7%JP¥9,333.33JP¥6,000.00JP¥8,230.002
Sep ’24JP¥8,306.67
JP¥7,666.67
-7.7%
21.7%JP¥9,333.33JP¥6,000.00JP¥8,580.002
Aug ’24JP¥8,230.00
JP¥7,333.33
-10.9%
18.2%JP¥8,666.67JP¥6,000.00JP¥7,690.002
Jul ’24JP¥7,410.00
JP¥7,000.00
-5.5%
14.3%JP¥8,000.00JP¥6,000.00JP¥8,460.002
Jun ’24JP¥5,746.67
JP¥6,333.33
+10.2%
5.3%JP¥6,666.67JP¥6,000.00JP¥7,100.002
May ’24JP¥5,033.33
JP¥6,333.33
+25.8%
5.3%JP¥6,666.67JP¥6,000.00JP¥5,990.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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