Rorze Valuation

Is 6323 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6323 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6323 (¥1807.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥27083.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6323 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6323?

Key metric: As 6323 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6323. This is calculated by dividing 6323's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6323's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
EarningsJP¥25.59b
Market CapJP¥319.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6323's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6323 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.3x
6728 ULVAC
13.4x18.7%JP¥300.4b
7729 Tokyo Seimitsu
12.9x9.4%JP¥314.6b
3436 Sumco
20.7x29.9%JP¥446.2b
6055 JAPAN MATERIAL
26.2x20.5%JP¥164.7b
6323 Rorze
12.5x5.6%JP¥319.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6323 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6323's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Semiconductor Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3856 Abalance
1.5xn/aUS$95.48m
No more companies available in this PE range
6323 12.5xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6323 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the JP Semiconductor industry average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6323's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6323 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6323 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6323 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,807.50
JP¥3,100.00
+71.5%
20.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,600.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥2,228.00
JP¥3,100.00
+39.1%
20.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,600.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥2,054.00
JP¥3,233.33
+57.4%
17.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥2,228.00
JP¥3,233.33
+45.1%
17.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥2,303.00
JP¥3,633.33
+57.8%
12.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥3,135.00
JP¥3,300.00
+5.3%
12.9%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥3,025.00
JP¥3,300.00
+9.1%
12.9%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥2,843.00
JP¥2,686.67
-5.5%
16.5%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,060.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥2,110.00
JP¥2,153.33
+2.1%
8.2%JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥2,237.00
JP¥2,015.00
-9.9%
14.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,600.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥1,661.00
JP¥1,840.00
+10.8%
10.6%JP¥2,060.00JP¥1,600.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥1,506.00
JP¥1,525.00
+1.3%
5.4%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,400.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥1,417.00
JP¥1,525.00
+7.6%
5.4%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,400.00n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥1,103.00
JP¥1,462.50
+32.6%
6.6%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥2,228.004
Oct ’24JP¥1,033.00
JP¥1,372.50
+32.9%
1.4%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥2,054.004
Sep ’24JP¥1,151.00
JP¥1,372.50
+19.2%
1.4%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥2,228.004
Aug ’24JP¥1,246.00
JP¥1,372.50
+10.2%
1.4%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥2,303.004
Jul ’24JP¥1,161.00
JP¥1,342.50
+15.6%
4.6%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,240.00JP¥3,135.004
Jun ’24JP¥1,131.00
JP¥1,342.50
+18.7%
4.6%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,240.00JP¥3,025.004
May ’24JP¥998.00
JP¥1,355.00
+35.8%
4.9%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,240.00JP¥2,843.004
Apr ’24JP¥1,164.00
JP¥1,130.00
-2.9%
24.0%JP¥1,400.00JP¥820.00JP¥2,110.004
Mar ’24JP¥1,134.00
JP¥1,130.00
-0.4%
24.0%JP¥1,400.00JP¥820.00JP¥2,237.004
Feb ’24JP¥1,007.00
JP¥1,130.00
+12.2%
24.0%JP¥1,400.00JP¥820.00JP¥1,661.004
Jan ’24JP¥711.00
JP¥1,130.00
+58.9%
24.0%JP¥1,400.00JP¥820.00JP¥1,506.004
Dec ’23JP¥868.00
JP¥1,130.00
+30.2%
24.0%JP¥1,400.00JP¥820.00JP¥1,417.004
Nov ’23JP¥745.00
JP¥1,130.00
+51.7%
24.0%JP¥1,400.00JP¥820.00JP¥1,103.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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