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Don't Buy Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks
Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. In other words, investors can purchase OptorunLtd's shares before the 27th of June in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 9th of September.
The company's upcoming dividend is JP¥27.00 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of JP¥54.00 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, OptorunLtd stock has a trailing yield of around 3.5% on the current share price of JP¥1550.00. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to investigate whether OptorunLtd can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.
Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. OptorunLtd paid out 58% of its earnings to investors last year, a normal payout level for most businesses. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. OptorunLtd paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 173%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.
OptorunLtd does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.
While OptorunLtd's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were OptorunLtd to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.
See our latest analysis for OptorunLtd
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're discomforted by OptorunLtd's 16% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.
Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. OptorunLtd has delivered an average of 3.7% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past seven years of dividend payments. Growing the dividend payout ratio while earnings are declining can deliver nice returns for a while, but it's always worth checking for when the company can't increase the payout ratio any more - because then the music stops.
To Sum It Up
Is OptorunLtd an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? OptorunLtd had an average payout ratio, but its free cash flow was lower and earnings per share have been declining. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.
With that being said, if you're still considering OptorunLtd as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for OptorunLtd you should be aware of.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6235
OptorunLtd
Engages in the manufacture, distribution, and import/export of vacuum coating machines, peripheral equipment, and units using vacuum coating products in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.
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