Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Abalance Corporation (TSE:3856) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
How Much Debt Does Abalance Carry?
As you can see below, Abalance had JP¥44.3b of debt at March 2025, down from JP¥47.2b a year prior. However, it does have JP¥46.5b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥2.22b.
How Healthy Is Abalance's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Abalance had liabilities of JP¥80.3b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥22.2b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥46.5b and JP¥7.26b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥48.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the JP¥14.3b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Abalance would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Abalance boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total.
Check out our latest analysis for Abalance
It is just as well that Abalance's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 27% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Abalance's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Abalance has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Abalance recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
Although Abalance's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of JP¥2.22b. The cherry on top was that in converted 96% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in JP¥13b. Despite its cash we think that Abalance seems to struggle to handle its total liabilities, so we are wary of the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Abalance (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.