Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that 4Cs HD Co., Ltd. (TSE:3726) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is 4Cs HD's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that 4Cs HD had debt of JP¥403.9m at the end of December 2024, a reduction from JP¥723.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥135.0m, its net debt is less, at about JP¥268.9m.
A Look At 4Cs HD's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, 4Cs HD had liabilities of JP¥1.06b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥388.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥135.0m and JP¥155.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥1.16b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, 4Cs HD has a market capitalization of JP¥7.26b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is 4Cs HD's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Check out our latest analysis for 4Cs HD
In the last year 4Cs HD wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 2.3%, to JP¥2.3b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months 4Cs HD produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at JP¥96m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through JP¥361m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for 4Cs HD you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3726
4Cs HD
Engages in the mail order, retail, wholesale, and hygiene consulting businesses in Japan and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet slight.
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