Stock Analysis

RenetJapanGroup,Inc. (TSE:3556) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 40%

TSE:3556
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, RenetJapanGroup,Inc. (TSE:3556) shares are down a considerable 40% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 73% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies operating in Japan's Multiline Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may consider RenetJapanGroupInc as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for RenetJapanGroupInc

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:3556 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024

How Has RenetJapanGroupInc Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, RenetJapanGroupInc has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on RenetJapanGroupInc will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for RenetJapanGroupInc, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, RenetJapanGroupInc would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 32% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 73% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 7.5%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that RenetJapanGroupInc's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On RenetJapanGroupInc's P/S

The southerly movements of RenetJapanGroupInc's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We're very surprised to see RenetJapanGroupInc currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Having said that, be aware RenetJapanGroupInc is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those make us uncomfortable.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.