ZOZO, Inc.

TSE:3092 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.4t

ZOZO Valuation

Is 3092 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3092 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3092 (¥4751) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3986.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3092 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3092?

Key metric: As 3092 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3092. This is calculated by dividing 3092's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3092's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.2x
EarningsJP¥45.16b
Market CapJP¥1.41t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3092's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3092 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
2670 ABC-MartInc
17.5x2.7%JP¥753.7b
8227 SHIMAMURA
14.2x3.6%JP¥585.8b
7564 WorkmanLtd
19.5x6.5%JP¥310.9b
2726 PAL GROUP Holdings
19x11.9%JP¥256.2b
3092 ZOZO
31.2x7.4%JP¥1.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3092 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3092's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
3092 31.2xIndustry Avg. 13.5xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3092 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the JP Specialty Retail industry average (13.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3092's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3092 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.2x
Fair PE Ratio19.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3092 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3092 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,751.00
JP¥4,371.25
-8.0%
15.5%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,400.00n/a16
Nov ’25JP¥4,792.00
JP¥4,270.00
-10.9%
15.5%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,400.00n/a16
Oct ’25JP¥5,190.00
JP¥4,104.67
-20.9%
15.5%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,400.00n/a15
Sep ’25JP¥4,643.00
JP¥3,983.13
-14.2%
17.0%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,200.00n/a16
Aug ’25JP¥4,156.00
JP¥3,784.00
-9.0%
10.7%JP¥4,590.00JP¥3,200.00n/a15
Jul ’25JP¥4,058.00
JP¥3,590.00
-11.5%
7.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,200.00n/a15
Jun ’25JP¥3,678.00
JP¥3,570.00
-2.9%
7.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,200.00n/a15
May ’25JP¥3,327.00
JP¥3,532.33
+6.2%
8.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,100.00n/a15
Apr ’25JP¥3,849.00
JP¥3,473.00
-9.8%
9.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,950.00n/a15
Mar ’25JP¥3,393.00
JP¥3,339.67
-1.6%
8.5%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,950.00n/a15
Feb ’25JP¥3,300.00
JP¥3,300.67
+0.02%
7.0%JP¥3,770.00JP¥2,950.00n/a15
Jan ’25JP¥3,175.00
JP¥3,284.00
+3.4%
6.7%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,000.00n/a15
Dec ’24JP¥3,100.00
JP¥3,307.33
+6.7%
7.7%JP¥3,750.00JP¥3,000.00n/a15
Nov ’24JP¥2,973.50
JP¥3,273.75
+10.1%
9.0%JP¥3,750.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥4,792.0016
Oct ’24JP¥2,742.50
JP¥3,312.86
+20.8%
8.9%JP¥3,750.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥5,190.0014
Sep ’24JP¥2,955.00
JP¥3,378.67
+14.3%
7.7%JP¥3,750.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥4,643.0015
Aug ’24JP¥2,717.00
JP¥3,398.67
+25.1%
5.9%JP¥3,750.00JP¥3,030.00JP¥4,156.0015
Jul ’24JP¥2,971.00
JP¥3,444.29
+15.9%
5.5%JP¥3,750.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,058.0014
Jun ’24JP¥2,808.00
JP¥3,455.00
+23.0%
6.1%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,678.0014
May ’24JP¥2,904.00
JP¥3,478.46
+19.8%
5.9%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,327.0013
Apr ’24JP¥3,015.00
JP¥3,534.62
+17.2%
9.0%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,849.0013
Mar ’24JP¥3,035.00
JP¥3,650.00
+20.3%
13.8%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,393.0013
Feb ’24JP¥3,205.00
JP¥3,620.71
+13.0%
13.7%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥3,300.0014
Jan ’24JP¥3,260.00
JP¥3,652.86
+12.1%
13.3%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,050.00JP¥3,175.0014
Dec ’23JP¥3,440.00
JP¥3,590.00
+4.4%
15.4%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥3,100.0014
Nov ’23JP¥3,245.00
JP¥3,593.57
+10.7%
15.3%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,973.5014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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