SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd.

TSE:8227 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥627.0b

SHIMAMURA Valuation

Is 8227 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8227 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8227 (¥8530) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥6452.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8227 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8227?

Key metric: As 8227 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8227. This is calculated by dividing 8227's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8227's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.2x
EarningsJP¥41.23b
Market CapJP¥626.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8227's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8227 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
2670 ABC-MartInc
18.8x3.3%JP¥809.0b
7564 WorkmanLtd
21.9x6.5%JP¥348.9b
3092 ZOZO
32.2x7.7%JP¥1.5t
2726 PAL GROUP Holdings
20.8x11.9%JP¥280.4b
8227 SHIMAMURA
15.2x3.6%JP¥627.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8227 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8227's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8227 15.2xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8227 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the JP Specialty Retail industry average (14.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8227's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8227 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.2x
Fair PE Ratio15.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8227 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8227 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥8,530.00
JP¥8,579.09
+0.6%
9.2%JP¥10,100.00JP¥7,600.00n/a11
Dec ’25JP¥8,486.00
JP¥8,555.83
+0.8%
8.8%JP¥10,100.00JP¥7,600.00n/a12
Nov ’25JP¥7,870.00
JP¥8,396.36
+6.7%
7.3%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,600.00n/a11
Oct ’25JP¥8,311.00
JP¥8,378.18
+0.8%
7.5%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,600.00n/a11
Sep ’25JP¥7,780.00
JP¥8,302.73
+6.7%
8.4%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,200.00n/a11
Aug ’25JP¥7,303.00
JP¥8,103.00
+11.0%
6.1%JP¥8,700.00JP¥7,200.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥7,310.00
JP¥8,083.00
+10.6%
6.4%JP¥8,700.00JP¥7,200.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥7,530.00
JP¥8,097.00
+7.5%
6.4%JP¥8,700.00JP¥7,200.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥7,714.00
JP¥8,077.00
+4.7%
7.7%JP¥8,800.00JP¥7,200.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥8,600.00
JP¥8,117.00
-5.6%
7.6%JP¥8,900.00JP¥7,200.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥7,945.00
JP¥7,955.50
+0.1%
9.0%JP¥8,900.00JP¥6,750.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥8,135.00
JP¥8,032.27
-1.3%
8.9%JP¥8,900.00JP¥6,750.00n/a11
Jan ’25JP¥7,880.00
JP¥7,900.45
+0.3%
8.5%JP¥8,750.00JP¥6,750.00n/a11
Dec ’24JP¥8,380.00
JP¥7,748.33
-7.5%
8.8%JP¥8,750.00JP¥6,750.00JP¥8,486.0012
Nov ’24JP¥7,562.50
JP¥7,644.17
+1.1%
10.0%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,350.00JP¥7,870.0012
Oct ’24JP¥7,385.00
JP¥7,668.18
+3.8%
10.3%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,350.00JP¥8,311.0011
Sep ’24JP¥7,632.50
JP¥7,483.33
-2.0%
9.0%JP¥8,750.00JP¥6,350.00JP¥7,780.0012
Aug ’24JP¥7,077.50
JP¥7,433.33
+5.0%
9.0%JP¥8,750.00JP¥6,350.00JP¥7,303.0012
Jul ’24JP¥6,810.00
JP¥7,433.33
+9.2%
9.0%JP¥8,750.00JP¥6,350.00JP¥7,310.0012
Jun ’24JP¥6,305.00
JP¥7,366.67
+16.8%
10.0%JP¥8,750.00JP¥6,250.00JP¥7,530.0012
May ’24JP¥6,215.00
JP¥7,491.67
+20.5%
8.8%JP¥8,750.00JP¥6,250.00JP¥7,714.0012
Apr ’24JP¥6,750.00
JP¥7,470.83
+10.7%
9.3%JP¥8,500.00JP¥6,250.00JP¥8,600.0012
Mar ’24JP¥6,380.00
JP¥7,470.83
+17.1%
9.3%JP¥8,500.00JP¥6,250.00JP¥7,945.0012
Feb ’24JP¥6,180.00
JP¥7,440.91
+20.4%
8.6%JP¥8,500.00JP¥6,400.00JP¥8,135.0011
Jan ’24JP¥6,550.00
JP¥7,427.27
+13.4%
9.2%JP¥8,500.00JP¥6,400.00JP¥7,880.0011
Dec ’23JP¥6,140.00
JP¥7,172.73
+16.8%
7.8%JP¥7,850.00JP¥6,200.00JP¥8,380.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 03:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/08/20
Annual Earnings2024/02/20

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. is covered by 26 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Maki ShinozakiBarclays
Arashi NishizawaBofA Global Research
Mitsuru TakayanagiCitigroup Inc