Workman Co.,Ltd.

TSE:7564 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥320.3b

WorkmanLtd Valuation

Is 7564 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7564 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7564 (¥3975) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4995.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7564 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7564?

Key metric: As 7564 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7564. This is calculated by dividing 7564's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7564's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.4x
EarningsJP¥15.91b
Market CapJP¥320.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7564's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7564 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
2726 PAL GROUP Holdings
19.1x11.9%JP¥251.2b
8227 SHIMAMURA
14.4x3.6%JP¥589.5b
2685 Adastria
11.8x4.9%JP¥165.3b
7545 Nishimatsuya Chain
16.2x7.8%JP¥133.9b
7564 WorkmanLtd
20.4x6.5%JP¥320.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7564 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7564's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7564 20.4xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies17PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7564 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the JP Specialty Retail industry average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7564's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7564 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.4x
Fair PE Ratio15.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7564 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7564 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,960.00
JP¥4,025.71
+1.7%
4.4%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,730.00n/a7
Nov ’25JP¥3,845.00
JP¥4,094.29
+6.5%
6.2%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,660.00n/a7
Oct ’25JP¥4,360.00
JP¥4,197.50
-3.7%
9.5%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,580.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥4,720.00
JP¥4,322.50
-8.4%
14.4%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,580.00n/a8
Aug ’25JP¥4,280.00
JP¥4,222.50
-1.3%
15.4%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,530.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥3,785.00
JP¥4,222.50
+11.6%
15.4%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,530.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥3,660.00
JP¥4,291.25
+17.2%
14.0%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,530.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥3,905.00
JP¥4,353.75
+11.5%
13.4%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,530.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥4,035.00
JP¥4,358.75
+8.0%
13.4%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,520.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥4,020.00
JP¥4,471.25
+11.2%
12.3%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,520.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥4,210.00
JP¥4,661.25
+10.7%
18.0%JP¥6,400.00JP¥3,490.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥4,160.00
JP¥4,665.00
+12.1%
17.8%JP¥6,400.00JP¥3,520.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥4,635.00
JP¥4,665.00
+0.6%
17.8%JP¥6,400.00JP¥3,520.00n/a8
Nov ’24JP¥3,960.00
JP¥5,095.00
+28.7%
18.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,660.00JP¥3,845.008
Oct ’24JP¥4,545.00
JP¥5,385.71
+18.5%
14.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥4,360.007
Sep ’24JP¥5,260.00
JP¥5,400.00
+2.7%
13.6%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥4,720.008
Aug ’24JP¥5,280.00
JP¥5,412.50
+2.5%
13.5%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥4,280.008
Jul ’24JP¥5,200.00
JP¥5,525.00
+6.3%
11.0%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,785.008
Jun ’24JP¥5,430.00
JP¥5,550.00
+2.2%
10.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,660.008
May ’24JP¥5,540.00
JP¥5,231.25
-5.6%
6.5%JP¥5,800.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥3,905.008
Apr ’24JP¥5,600.00
JP¥5,243.75
-6.4%
6.5%JP¥5,800.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,035.008
Mar ’24JP¥5,820.00
JP¥5,168.75
-11.2%
5.2%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,020.008
Feb ’24JP¥5,220.00
JP¥5,031.25
-3.6%
8.6%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,400.00JP¥4,210.008
Jan ’24JP¥5,400.00
JP¥4,875.00
-9.7%
10.0%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥4,160.008
Dec ’23JP¥4,960.00
JP¥4,875.00
-1.7%
10.0%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥4,635.008
Nov ’23JP¥5,050.00
JP¥5,462.50
+8.2%
18.9%JP¥7,500.00JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,960.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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