Stock Analysis

Does Bunkyodo Group Holdings (TYO:9978) Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger?

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Bunkyodo Group Holdings (TYO:9978) so let's look a bit deeper.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Bunkyodo Group Holdings, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = JP¥405m ÷ (JP¥11b - JP¥7.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2020).

So, Bunkyodo Group Holdings has an ROCE of 11%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 8.8% generated by the Specialty Retail industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Bunkyodo Group Holdings

roce
JASDAQ:9978 Return on Capital Employed January 5th 2021

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Bunkyodo Group Holdings has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Bunkyodo Group Holdings Tell Us?

It's great to see that Bunkyodo Group Holdings has started to generate some pre-tax earnings from prior investments. The company was generating losses five years ago, but now it's turned around, earning 11% which is no doubt a relief for some early shareholders. At first glance, it seems the business is getting more proficient at generating returns, because over the same period, the amount of capital employed has reduced by 61%. This could potentially mean that the company is selling some of its assets.

On a side note, Bunkyodo Group Holdings' current liabilities are still rather high at 67% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

The Bottom Line

From what we've seen above, Bunkyodo Group Holdings has managed to increase it's returns on capital all the while reducing it's capital base. And since the stock has dived 74% over the last five years, there may be other factors affecting the company's prospects. Regardless, we think the underlying fundamentals warrant this stock for further investigation.

If you'd like to know more about Bunkyodo Group Holdings, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:9978

Bunkyodo Group Holdings

Operates various wholesale and retail stores in Japan.

Low risk and slightly overvalued.

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