Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Nitta Gelatin's (TSE:4977) For Its Upcoming Dividend

TSE:4977
Source: Shutterstock

It looks like Nitta Gelatin Inc. (TSE:4977) is about to go ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. This means that investors who purchase Nitta Gelatin's shares on or after the 27th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 5th of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥9.00 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed JP¥18.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Nitta Gelatin has a trailing yield of 2.0% on the current stock price of JP¥911.00. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

See our latest analysis for Nitta Gelatin

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Nitta Gelatin paid a dividend last year despite being unprofitable. This might be a one-off event, but it's not a sustainable state of affairs in the long run. Considering the lack of profitability, we also need to check if the company generated enough cash flow to cover the dividend payment. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. It paid out 12% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservatively low.

Click here to see how much of its profit Nitta Gelatin paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
TSE:4977 Historic Dividend September 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Nitta Gelatin was unprofitable last year and, unfortunately, the general trend suggests its earnings have been in decline over the last five years, making us wonder if the dividend is sustainable at all.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Nitta Gelatin has delivered 4.1% dividend growth per year on average over the past 10 years.

We update our analysis on Nitta Gelatin every 24 hours, so you can always get the latest insights on its financial health, here.

To Sum It Up

Should investors buy Nitta Gelatin for the upcoming dividend? We're a bit uncomfortable with it paying a dividend while being loss-making. However, we note that the dividend was covered by cash flow. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Nitta Gelatin.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Nitta Gelatin don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. For example - Nitta Gelatin has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nitta Gelatin might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.