Nitta Gelatin Valuation

Is 4977 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4977 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4977 (¥749) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2670.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4977 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4977?

Key metric: As 4977 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4977. This is calculated by dividing 4977's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4977's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesJP¥40.44b
Market CapJP¥13.60b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4977's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4977 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
4409 Toho Chemical Industry Company
0.3xn/aJP¥13.4b
4082 Daiichi Kigenso Kagaku Kogyo
0.5x4.2%JP¥17.9b
4620 Fujikura Kasei
0.3xn/aJP¥16.0b
4463 Nicca ChemicalLtd
0.3xn/aJP¥17.9b
4977 Nitta Gelatin
0.3x3.4%JP¥13.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4977 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4977's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7886 Yamato Mobility & Mfg.Ltd
0.08xn/aUS$8.16m
No more companies available in this PS range
4977 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies24PS00.40.81.21.62+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4977 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4977's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4977 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4977 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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