Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around KEIWA Incorporated's (TSE:4251) Earnings As Shares Take 25% Pounding

TSE:4251
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KEIWA Incorporated (TSE:4251) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 17% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, KEIWA's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.9x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 20x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

KEIWA certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for KEIWA

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4251 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 5th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think KEIWA's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start .

Is There Any Growth For KEIWA?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as KEIWA's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 41% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 5.7% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.5% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that KEIWA's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in KEIWA have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that KEIWA maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with KEIWA .

You might be able to find a better investment than KEIWA. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KEIWA might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.