Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd. (TSE:4114) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to ¥50.00 on the 5th of December. However, the dividend yield of 5.3% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.
Nippon Shokubai's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 101% of what it was earning. Without profits and cash flows increasing, it would be difficult for the company to continue paying the dividend at this level.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 3.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 100%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
See our latest analysis for Nippon Shokubai
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥27.50 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥100.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 14% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Nippon Shokubai's Dividend Might Lack Growth
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Nippon Shokubai has been growing its earnings per share at 14% a year over the past five years. While EPS is growing at a decent rate, but future growth could be limited by the amount of earnings being paid out to shareholders.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nippon Shokubai that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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