Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To ISE Chemicals Corporation (TSE:4107) With Shares Advancing 96%

TSE:4107
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ISE Chemicals Corporation (TSE:4107) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 96% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 304% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider ISE Chemicals as a stock to avoid entirely with its 52x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, ISE Chemicals has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for ISE Chemicals

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4107 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 17th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think ISE Chemicals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

ISE Chemicals' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 37%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 201% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 3.6% each year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.6% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that ISE Chemicals is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Shares in ISE Chemicals have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of ISE Chemicals' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with ISE Chemicals.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.