Subdued Growth No Barrier To ISE Chemicals Corporation (TSE:4107) With Shares Advancing 26%
Despite an already strong run, ISE Chemicals Corporation (TSE:4107) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 156% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider ISE Chemicals as a stock to avoid entirely with its 24.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been advantageous for ISE Chemicals as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for ISE Chemicals
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ISE Chemicals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is ISE Chemicals' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, ISE Chemicals would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 37% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 201% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.6% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that ISE Chemicals is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From ISE Chemicals' P/E?
The strong share price surge has got ISE Chemicals' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that ISE Chemicals currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for ISE Chemicals (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4107
ISE Chemicals
Engages in the production, processing, and trade of iodine and iodine derivatives, and nickel and cobalt compounds in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.