Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. (TSE:4063) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥50.00 per share on the 21st of November. This payment means the dividend yield will be 1.5%, which is below the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for Shin-Etsu Chemical
Shin-Etsu Chemical's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. However, prior to this announcement, Shin-Etsu Chemical's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 10.3% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 41% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥20.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥100.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 17% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Shin-Etsu Chemical has been growing its earnings per share at 12% a year over the past five years. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for Shin-Etsu Chemical's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.
We Really Like Shin-Etsu Chemical's Dividend
Overall, we like to see the dividend staying consistent, and we think Shin-Etsu Chemical might even raise payments in the future. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Earnings growth generally bodes well for the future value of company dividend payments. See if the 17 Shin-Etsu Chemical analysts we track are forecasting continued growth with our free report on analyst estimates for the company. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:4063
Shin-Etsu Chemical
Provides infrastructure, electronics, and functional materials in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.